Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.238010 0.275015 0.315693 0.363704 0.418800 0.480032 0.553230
2024-10-06 0.187878 0.237878 0.297819 0.374876 0.471229 0.587662 0.738993
2024-10-13 0.145443 0.200272 0.271427 0.370315 0.503982 0.678191 0.922332
2024-10-20 0.118423 0.176223 0.256923 0.377400 0.552282 0.796461 1.162898
2024-10-27 0.093518 0.149649 0.233555 0.367456 0.575104 0.884088 1.377949
2024-11-03 0.079879 0.136679 0.227087 0.380464 0.633124 1.031518 1.705818
2024-11-10 0.069365 0.126341 0.222486 0.395121 0.695847 1.196064 2.088498
2024-11-17 0.058508 0.113070 0.210370 0.394695 0.733110 1.324947 2.434199
2024-11-24 0.049554 0.101281 0.198463 0.392083 0.765540 1.450024 2.793371
2024-12-01 0.042525 0.091646 0.188589 0.391134 0.800349 1.584083 3.189933
2024-12-08 0.037040 0.083943 0.180927 0.392865 0.840186 1.733062 3.638037
2024-12-15 0.033062 0.078584 0.176951 0.401217 0.894431 1.917875 4.185772
2024-12-22 0.028832 0.071900 0.169183 0.400619 0.931014 2.075148 4.708227
2024-12-29 0.026001 0.067882 0.166566 0.411034 0.993642 2.297443 5.407245
2025-01-05 0.022535 0.061574 0.157492 0.404816 1.017424 2.438877 5.950665
2025-01-12 0.020301 0.057923 0.154106 0.411706 1.073481 2.662350 6.720012
2025-01-19 0.017488 0.052106 0.144192 0.400335 1.082710 2.777557 7.250522
2025-01-26 0.016166 0.050147 0.143928 0.414095 1.158417 3.065898 8.254882
2025-02-02 0.015051 0.048542 0.144323 0.429748 1.241957 3.386995 9.394445
2025-02-09 0.013477 0.045203 0.139235 0.429108 1.281092 3.599780 10.284635
2025-02-16 0.012030 0.041931 0.133706 0.426157 1.313283 3.799301 11.171708
2025-02-23 0.010818 0.039141 0.129079 0.425049 1.350732 4.019269 12.151654
2025-03-02 0.009825 0.036864 0.125604 0.426873 1.397412 4.272762 13.268831